Summer 2012 is going to be a warm one in Ireland with a lot of sunshine and high temperatures.
This is very optimistic but it is what we predict and having studied conditions over past years and this years weather conditions we feel this is not beyond the realms of fantasy. So what if we are wrong. Long Range Weather Forecasts can be just that but this year it looks like a good year is in prospect and a dry one too.
May 2012
UPDATE - Very cold weather May 5th to May 10th. Temperatures 5 to 8c
A few showers at times but generally a lot of cloudy weather in prospect.
Temperatures will be 12 to 16c
Winds will be Westerly and it will be breezy at times but rainfall totals will be large and mainly along the South and West.
June 2012
Very warm conditions for a lot of the month with sunshine and temperatures in the twenties.
Typical afternoon values of 18 to 21c
This will spark off a few thundery outbursts at times with High Rainfall totals
July 2012
Warm still away from the West and North where it will be more cloudy and misty than June.
Temperatures of 25c are possible in the South at times. Generally 15 to 20c.
Warmer weather everywhere at times but fronts will tend to brush along the West.
August 2012
More sunshine in the West than July but showers also, some thundery.
Eastern parts will have more in the way of dry weather and this could be causing water supply problems here. Temperatures over 20c on a lot of days.
More general rain for all at the end of the month.
This is the current forecast for Summer 2012 and it will be changing as time goes on but a dry one is well overdue now and pressure has been quite High overall in 2012.
Tuesday, March 20, 2012
Monday, August 15, 2011
Summer Washout
Summer 2011 looks like it will be the coolest on record at some stations in Ireland.
The sun has also been rare with 80% of the normal sunshine that we would expect at the time of year.
Temperatures have of course been very poor too everywhere and the highest temperature of the Summer of 25.5c at Oak Park in June is one of the lowest in the last 50 years.
So what is going to happen for the rest of Summer 2011 which lasts up to the end of August?
Well it does look as if there is no real improvement in prospect for Ireland with rain or showers until the end of the month.
Some of the more long range forecasters are even predicting a similar pattern of weather for September too. Can we really face up to that?
Well lets not look that far ahead maybe the High pressure will win the day in September as it sometimes does and bring Ireland an Indian Summer.
Thought not.
The sun has also been rare with 80% of the normal sunshine that we would expect at the time of year.
Temperatures have of course been very poor too everywhere and the highest temperature of the Summer of 25.5c at Oak Park in June is one of the lowest in the last 50 years.
So what is going to happen for the rest of Summer 2011 which lasts up to the end of August?
Well it does look as if there is no real improvement in prospect for Ireland with rain or showers until the end of the month.
Some of the more long range forecasters are even predicting a similar pattern of weather for September too. Can we really face up to that?
Well lets not look that far ahead maybe the High pressure will win the day in September as it sometimes does and bring Ireland an Indian Summer.
Thought not.
Sunday, July 3, 2011
Summer 2011 Weather Stats so far
Here are the Summer 2011 stats for the Northwest of Ireland so far this Summer.
So using weather data from Belmullet Station off www.met.ie I wondered which days of Summer 2011 are the sunniest wettest and warmest and these are the results.
In descending order the sunniest days are dom dom DOM!
Here are the Sunshine Results
Sunniest day of the week in Summer 2011 has been Thursday...by far with a total of 47.6 hours of sun for 5 Thursdays so far whilst the dullest by a long shot has been (surprise surprise) Sunday with a paltry 19.3 hours.
Here is the Sunshine list with data from June 1st 2011 until July 2nd 2011
1.THURSDAY--------------------------47.6 Hours
2. Saturday------------------------------33.8 Hours
3. Friday--------------------------------32.9 Hours
4. Monday------------------------------32 Hours (over equivalent 5 weeks)
5. Wednesday--------------------------31.7 Hours
6. Tuesday-----------------------------27 Hours (over equivalent 5 weeks)
7. SUNDAY --------------------------19.3 Hours (over equivalent 5 weeks)
So using weather data from Belmullet Station off www.met.ie I wondered which days of Summer 2011 are the sunniest wettest and warmest and these are the results.
In descending order the sunniest days are dom dom DOM!
Here are the Sunshine Results
Sunniest day of the week in Summer 2011 has been Thursday...by far with a total of 47.6 hours of sun for 5 Thursdays so far whilst the dullest by a long shot has been (surprise surprise) Sunday with a paltry 19.3 hours.
Here is the Sunshine list with data from June 1st 2011 until July 2nd 2011
1.THURSDAY--------------------------47.6 Hours
2. Saturday------------------------------33.8 Hours
3. Friday--------------------------------32.9 Hours
4. Monday------------------------------32 Hours (over equivalent 5 weeks)
5. Wednesday--------------------------31.7 Hours
6. Tuesday-----------------------------27 Hours (over equivalent 5 weeks)
7. SUNDAY --------------------------19.3 Hours (over equivalent 5 weeks)
Tuesday, June 28, 2011
Summer continues cool
Summer of 2011 in Ireland will not go down as a steaming hot one, certainly if current trends continue.
Its been nearly 2 degrees below normal for most of the time and the overall average has only been punctuated a couple of times by some warm days of which there has been 5 in June.
July will probably see a similar amount with very little prolonged spells of heat at all.
August is the month of the Summer when nights get longer and cooler but will they get any cooler than at present. It is hard to imagine so.
Its been nearly 2 degrees below normal for most of the time and the overall average has only been punctuated a couple of times by some warm days of which there has been 5 in June.
July will probably see a similar amount with very little prolonged spells of heat at all.
August is the month of the Summer when nights get longer and cooler but will they get any cooler than at present. It is hard to imagine so.
Monday, June 13, 2011
Summer 2011 Outlook Cool and Unsettled/Warm at Times
This Summer is looking to be cool and unsettled as Atlantic Weatherbands continue to cross Ireland bringing very changeable conditions. From time to time High Pressure will build from the South before being pushed out of the way once more by cooler weather. It looks like overall the temperatures will be around average but rainfall will be above normal with sunshine slightly lower than we would expect.
Friday, April 29, 2011
Warm Summer 2011
Summer 2011 looks quite favorable for Ireland this year. It does look as though May will turn out to be one of the worse months of the season. We are looking at 3 weeks of essentially very warm and sunny weather. It is quite hard to pinpoint as yet when this is likely but June into July would seem to be the most likely time.This is the early forecast for Summer 2011 and it is likely to change as we get near. However as we know a lot of people consider Summer to be May, June and July so just a heads up. More detailed weather can be found here
Temperatures will be above normal for a lot of 2011 as and this is going to continue throughout most of the Summer. There is a slight possibility that parts of Europe may experience extreme heat later in the season but Ireland will have more bearable type values.
Saturday, May 29, 2010
Summer 2010 Forecast for Ireland
UPDATED SUMMER FORECAST - August 30th 2010
Summer is now over but by looking at the review here you can see how it eventually panned out.
Below admire weathergossip's forecasting accuracy. Heres for a similar Autumn.
JUNE: Dry at first, some rain midmonth with dry and warm weather to end.
TEMPS: Above Normal
RAINFALL: Below Normal
This month was warm dry and sunny with less rain than was forecast. Percentage accuracy 80%
JULY: Warm weather for first week then cooler but thundery, perhaps dier to end.
TEMPS: Above Normal
This month was indeed wet and the end part was drier. Temperatures disappointing but slightly above average Percentage accuracy 85%
Summer is now over but by looking at the review here you can see how it eventually panned out.
Below admire weathergossip's forecasting accuracy. Heres for a similar Autumn.
JUNE: Dry at first, some rain midmonth with dry and warm weather to end.
TEMPS: Above Normal
RAINFALL: Below Normal
This month was warm dry and sunny with less rain than was forecast. Percentage accuracy 80%
JULY: Warm weather for first week then cooler but thundery, perhaps dier to end.
TEMPS: Above NormalRAINFALL: Above Normal
This month was indeed wet and the end part was drier. Temperatures disappointing but slightly above average Percentage accuracy 85%
AUGUST: Rain mixed with dry spells Nights a little cooler.
TEMPS: Below Normal
RAINFALL: Normal or slightly below
This month was exactly as forecast really with a lot of dry weather though some rain also
Percentage Accuracy 90%
This month was exactly as forecast really with a lot of dry weather though some rain also
Percentage Accuracy 90%
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